Forecasting & Inventory Optimization for a $1B Food Supply Program

Industry: Government / Defense Logistics

Themes: Forecasting · Inventory Optimization · Resilience

  • +6% service level improvement
  • 20–25% working capital reduction
  • $1B+ annual flow managed
Large-scale food supply program operating in highly volatile, multi-country environments with long lead times and strict service-level requirements.

Core challenges:

  • Highly volatile demand patterns
  • 60–90 day end-to-end lead times
  • Excessive working capital exposure
  • Contractual service penalties

Intervention (what you actually did):

  • Designed and implemented demand forecasting logic (non-AI, rules- and data-driven)
  • Redesigned inventory control parameters and replenishment policies
  • Stabilized WMS and TMS execution workflows
  • Reconfigured supply flows to improve responsiveness

Measured outcomes:

  • Service level improved from ~86% to ~92%
  • Working capital reduced by ~20–25%
  • Sustained operations at $1.1–1.2B annual scale

Maps to services:

  • Demand Forecasting
  • Inventory Optimization
  • Supply Chain Resilience